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The EU’s Blind Spot Is Fueling China’s Rise—and Even Trump Might Not See the Real Threat

Writer: Lynn MatthewsLynn Matthews

Map illustration showing China's Belt and Road Initiative. Red lines and ships connect continents over water. Mountains and a city in the background.

The European Union fancies itself the world’s moral compass—a champion of democracy, climate action, and human rights. But while EU leaders like Ursula von der Leyen and Emmanuel Macron pat themselves on the back for their “progressive” policies, they’re ignoring a threat right at their front door: China’s relentless rise. The EU’s obsession with clean energy is funding Beijing’s global expansion, empowering a rival that’s making alarming inroads in Africa and South America. Here in the U.S., we’re cheering President Trump’s return, hoping he’ll fix the world’s messes. But even Trump, a master strategist, might not see the full scope of this danger. And Elon Musk—America’s innovation icon—is caught in the crossfire, reliant on Chinese tech for Tesla’s cars. The stakes couldn’t be higher, and it’s time we wake up to what’s really happening.


The EU’s Dangerous Gamble: Funding China’s Ascendancy

The EU’s Green Deal, a €1 trillion plan to make Europe climate-neutral by 2050, sounds noble on paper. Solar panels, wind turbines, and electric vehicle (EV) batteries are its backbone. But here’s the dirty secret: the EU doesn’t make most of this stuff—it buys it from China. Beijing controls 80% of the global solar panel supply chain and 75% of EV battery production, per 2024 BloombergNEF and IEA data. Europe imported €18 billion in solar panels from China in 2023, up 40% from 2020, according to Eurostat. Every solar farm the EU builds, every EV it subsidizes, sends cash straight to Chinese firms like LONGi and CATL.


The U.S. isn’t far behind in this dependency trap. In 2024, we imported $438.9 billion in goods from China while exporting just $143.5 billion, leaving a goods trade deficit of $295.4 billion, per the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis—a 5.8% increase from 2023. Much of this imbalance comes from our reliance on Chinese tech, like the batteries powering Elon Musk’s Teslas. While Trump’s tariffs aim to curb this, the EU’s unchecked spending on Chinese goods fuels Beijing’s rise, making it harder for the U.S. to break free.


This isn’t just trade—it’s a strategic disaster. China uses this dependency to flex muscle, as it did in 2023 by restricting exports of gallium and germanium—key for solar tech—in retaliation for EU semiconductor controls. The EU’s own Commission warned in 2024 of “economic coercion” risks, yet the Green Deal steamrolls ahead, driven by ideological zeal. Worse, China’s coal-heavy grid (60% coal-powered in 2024) means manufacturing a solar panel there emits 30% more carbon than in Europe, per a 2023 Nature Sustainability study. The EU gets to virtue-signal while China gets the cash—and the power.


The EU’s Blind Spot: Ignoring the Threat at the Door

The EU’s leadership seems oblivious—or worse, complicit. They’re so busy moralizing about climate and democracy that they’re ignoring China’s growing leverage. If Beijing controls the EU’s energy transition, it can dictate terms—price hikes, export bans, or demands for softer criticism of its human rights abuses. This isn’t hypothetical: China’s already done it with rare earth minerals, mirroring how Russia used gas to pressure Europe before the Ukraine war.


The EU’s centralizing tendencies make it even more vulnerable. The Digital Services Act lets it police speech on platforms like X, echoing China’s own authoritarian model: control the narrative, suppress dissent, dominate the economy. If the EU keeps funding China while eroding its own sovereignty, it’s paving the way for a future where Beijing’s unitary system—centralized, surveillance-heavy, state-driven—becomes the global norm. The EU must know this, but their actions suggest they’re too arrogant or ideologically blinded to care.


Trump’s Strategy: A Good Start, But Is He Missing the Bigger Picture?

Here in the U.S., we’ve pinned our hopes on President Trump to fix the world’s messes. Trump’s a brilliant strategist—his 2024 win, tariffs, and “America First” agenda show he knows how to play hardball. His 10% universal tariff plan, rolled out in early 2025, aims to bring manufacturing home, and his skepticism of globalist institutions like the EU resonates with those of us who see their overreach. But even Trump might not fully grasp the scale of China’s threat.


Trump’s focused on trade deficits and military competition—rightly so. But the EU’s role in funding China’s rise is a blind spot. Trump has criticized the EU for freeloading on NATO—only 11 of 31 members met the 2% GDP defense spending goal in 2024—but he hasn’t connected the dots to how their green policies empower Beijing. If the EU keeps funneling billions to China, it’ll strengthen a rival Trump’s trying to contain. This isn’t just an EU problem—it’s a global one, and the U.S. can’t ignore it.


Elon Musk’s Dilemma: Caught in China’s Web

Elon Musk, a personal hero of mine, is stuck in the middle. Tesla’s a cornerstone of America’s innovation economy, with 10 million cars sold globally as of early 2025. But Tesla relies heavily on China—60% of its batteries come from Chinese firms like CATL, and its Shanghai Gigafactory produced 50% of Tesla’s global output in 2024, per company reports. Musk has praised China’s work ethic, calling its workers “smart” and “hardworking” in a 2023 X post, but this dependency is a double-edged sword. If China restricts battery exports, Tesla’s production could grind to a halt, tanking its stock (already down 50% from its December 2024 peak to $270 a share).


Musk isn’t blind to the risk—he warned on X in 2024 that “China’s gonna crush it in electric cars if we don’t step up.” But starting a solar or battery manufacturing company in the U.S. isn’t a simple fix. Labor costs here are sky-high—U.S. manufacturing wages average $30/hour, compared to $5/hour in China, per the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Add regulatory hurdles and the lack of domestic rare earth processing (China controls 90% of global supply), and it’s a steep climb. Musk could diversify—Tesla’s opened a battery plant in Nevada—but scaling up to replace China would take years and billions, all while competing with Beijing’s state-subsidized firms.


What Can Be Done? A Call to Action

This isn’t a problem Trump or Musk can solve alone—it’s a systemic crisis demanding action on multiple fronts:

  • U.S. Leadership Must Step Up: Trump should pressure the EU to decouple from China’s green tech supply chain. Tariffs on Chinese imports are a start, but the U.S. must also offer incentives—tax breaks, subsidies—for EU countries to build their own solar and battery industries. A transatlantic “de-risking” pact could align our interests, but it’ll take diplomatic muscle Trump hasn’t yet flexed here.

  • Invest in Domestic Manufacturing: The U.S. must rebuild its own green tech supply chain. Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act poured $369 billion into renewables, but 60% of our solar imports still come from China, per the Rhodium Group. Trump should double down on bringing production home—labor costs are high, but automation and government support can help. Musk could lead, partnering with the government to build U.S. battery plants, even if it’s a long-term play.

  • Expose the EU’s Hypocrisy: The EU needs a wake-up call. Their green policies aren’t saving the planet—they’re empowering China while offshoring emissions. American media, policymakers, and influencers should call this out, pressuring the EU to prioritize sovereignty over ideology. If they won’t listen, the U.S. must lead by example, balancing climate goals with strategic independence.

  • Diversify Global Alliances: The U.S. and EU must counter China’s influence in Africa and South America. China’s $1 trillion Belt and Road Initiative has bought loyalty through infrastructure—America can compete with better deals, focusing on tech transfer and debt-free investment. Trump’s “America First” shouldn’t mean “America Alone”—we need allies to push back on Beijing’s global grip.


The Real Threat We Can’t Ignore

The EU’s blind spot is fueling China’s rise, with global consequences. Beijing’s economic leverage could morph into political control, not just in Europe but worldwide. If China dominates green tech, infrastructure, and resources, it’ll dictate the future—potentially a unitary, authoritarian system that crushes dissent and centralizes power. The EU’s arrogance, mirrored by U.S. liberals who push similar centralizing policies, is paving the way for this outcome, whether they see it or not.


Trump’s a fighter, but even he might not see the full threat. Musk’s a visionary, but he’s tangled in China’s web. It’s up to us—Americans who see the stakes—to demand action. We can’t assume Trump will fix the world; this problem’s bigger than any one leader. The EU must open its eyes, the U.S. must lead, and we all must rethink our reliance on a rival playing the long game. China’s at the front door—let’s not wait until it’s inside the house.

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